The Sweden Democrats reach its highest level ever in GP / Sifo voter barometer. Since the election last fall, the support of public opinion has increased by nearly two percentage points.
Just as before, the Sweden Democrats have the strongest support among men, while only 8.8 percent of the women answered that they would vote for SD if there were elections today. The most difficult is the party to attract female voters over 50 years.
– It is clear that the Sweden Democrats taking advantage of the political debate on immigration and integration, says SIFO public opinion director Toivo Sjörén.
– The issue is high on the agenda right now, and other measurements have shown that one in four voters think that SD has the best immigration policy, he said.
Read also: Analysis: It smells Juholt of S The numbers
The last few weeks discussion on the begging ban may also have benefited the Sweden Democrats, as well as the announcement from Jimmie Åkesson that he will return as party leader.
– In addition, the internal conflicts with the requirement exclusions are not as up to date as a month ago, says Toivo Sjörén.
One consequence of Sifo’s forecast of election results broke all wrong when it comes to SD’s success has been that polling institute now ” weights “the party is different.
But still give more undertakings party significantly higher results than Sifo. Two examples are the Norwegian Sentio, whose latest survey ended at 17.8 percent for SD and British YouGov, which came to 19.5 percent.
– Generally speaking, Web surveys always higher notes for the Sweden Democrats than telephone interviews. It is possible that there are other methodological differences, says Toivo Sjörén.
While the SD established as the third largest political party fight now several parties for fourth place. Besides the Left Party and the Green Party is today also the Centre Party of seven percentage points.
Annie Lööf has had tailwind and increased his party’s voter support since the autumn elections, while there been slower for other alliance parties. According to the May Sifo survey is the Liberal Party increasingly difficult to reach male voters.
And despite changes of party leader raises neither M or KD. Moderates remains below 25 percentage points and the Christian Democrats would not meet the four percent threshold to parliament if elections were held today.
One conclusion could be that voters reacted to last week’s debate between party leaders, where Ebba Busch Thor did not materialize because of childbirth and Anna Kinberg Batra did a pale effort, but probably there are quite different explanations.
– If a party ledarbyte to take effect, it must be paired with political changes, says Toivo Sjörén.
GP / Sifo: Three trends
Still between blocks: The difference between the blocks is in today’s measuring 1.1 percentage points, in practice none at all. When the election was 4.2 percentage points and the gap has gradually narrowed.
The Centre stronger: C goes into measurement after measurement. From a situation where the party swung around four percent, and often was below the magic limit, stands Annie Lööf and C as the Alliance’s clearest voice.
Moderates do not go up: party leader change yet not led to any positive figures for the M standing and stomping. On the other hand, not much politics has been presented so far.
No comments:
Post a Comment