The National Bank: Nordea expects the repo rate in September
2015-07-02 13:37
(SIX) Nordea has today revised its forecast for the repo rate, by today's soft response from the Riksbank. The forecast now is that the repo rate lowered by a further ten points to -0.45 percent already in September. It is clear from a recent analysis. Earlier, Nordea anticipated that the Riksbank would lower the repo rate to 0.40 percent in September. Given that the forecast change is marginal causes no changes to the forecasts for the crown, according to the bank. "The reason we expect further easing from The Riksbank is that we continue to believe that the Bank's inflation forecast is slightly on the high side. Moreover indicates bank's interest rate path 60 percent probability of a further rate cut by ten points in the year, which is really a strong signal. Development of the krona continues to be crucial for monetary policy going forward. At the press conference Mr Ingves stressed the importance that the Crown is not reinforced faster than forecast, "writes Nordea's chief analyst Andreas Wallström. Nordea expects the repo rate remains at -0.45 percent mid-2016 and that it subsequently raised to 0.00 percent end in 2016. The EUR / USD is expected to fall to 9.10 by the end of 2015 and is expected to then continue to decline to 8.90 at year-end in 2016. USD / SEK is expected to rise to 8.67 by the end of 2015 and is expected to continue up to 8.90 in late in 2016. At this writing, the EUR / USD to about 9.35, and the USD / EUR traded at around 8.44. Erik Palmung +46 31 350 64 86 mailto: erik.palmung@six-group.se www.blogg.six.seSIXNews SIX News
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